Final Score: Marlins 4 - Nationals 5
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET
Marlins @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 280 | 266 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 9 |
| Stat | Marlins | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 135 | 137 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 39% | 44% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
Nationals
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0