Final Score: Marlins 9 - Royals 6
Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
70-69 Rating 1492
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Kansas City Royals +0.1
Royals
62-77 Rating 1477
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Royals
All-time wins 15 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Royals
Games played 139 139
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.9
Win percentage 50% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 54%