Final Score: Reds 7 - Cubs 5
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
64-72 Rating 1484
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
77-59 Rating 1539
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 416 389
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 5 17

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 136 136
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.3
Win percentage 47% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 58%