Final Score: Cardinals 10 - Reds 9
Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET

Cardinals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
65-63 Rating 1498
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Reds
61-66 Rating 1488
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Reds
All-time wins 415 384
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Reds
Games played 128 127
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.7
Win percentage 51% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 48%