Final Score: Marlins 0 - Reds 1
Friday, August 14, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
62-60 Rating 1493
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.2
Reds
58-62 Rating 1491
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 108 139
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 8 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 122 120
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.8
Win percentage 51% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 48%