Final Score: Marlins 2 - Mets 0
Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
57-55 Rating 1494
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.1
Mets
47-65 Rating 1480
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Mets
All-time wins 253 295
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Mets
Games played 112 112
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.6
Win percentage 51% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 43%