Final Score: Mets 0 - Guardians 0
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Mets @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
Mets
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Guardians
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 57% | 44% | 12% | 5% |
| If Win | 63% | 47% | 13% | 5% |
| If Lose | 53% | 40% | 9% | 5% |
| Stat | Mets | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 11 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Mets | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 113 | 113 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 50% |
Recent Results
Mets
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 17
14-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
Guardians
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 20
8-12
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3