Final Score: Guardians 3 - Rays 11
Friday, July 24, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Guardians @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
54-50 Rating 1518
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.3
Rays
59-43 Rating 1521
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Rays
All-time wins 115 88
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.0
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Rays
Games played 104 102
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.2
Win percentage 52% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 70%