Final Score: Marlins 0 - Braves 0
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Marlins @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
Marlins
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 21% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| If Win | 28% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| If Lose | 17% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Braves
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 99% | 84% | 12% | 5% |
| If Win | 99% | 85% | 13% | 5% |
| If Lose | 97% | 79% | 9% | 4% |
| Stat | Marlins | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 220 | 335 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 9 |
| Stat | Marlins | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 113 | 112 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 64% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ New York Mets
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ New York Mets
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ New York Mets
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ New York Mets
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
Braves
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Washington Nationals
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Washington Nationals
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ New York Mets
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ New York Mets
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New York Mets
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 17
3-14
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6