Final Score: Padres 5 - Reds 0
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Padres @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
72-65 Rating 1531
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Reds
65-72 Rating 1487
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Reds
All-time wins 313 353
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Reds
Games played 137 137
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.9
Win percentage 53% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 47%