Final Score: Twins 2 - Padres 6
Friday, August 21, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Twins @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Twins | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 21 | 11 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 2 |
| Stat | Twins | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 128 | 128 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 59% |
Recent Results
Twins
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
Padres
@ New York Mets
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ New York Mets
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ New York Mets
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Houston Astros
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2