Final Score: Brewers 2 - Padres 11
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Brewers @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Brewers
74-45 Rating 1569
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.2
Padres
63-57 Rating 1532
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Brewers Padres
All-time wins 93 97
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Brewers Padres
Games played 119 120
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.3
Win percentage 62% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 57%