Final Score: Padres 0 - Diamondbacks 0
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Padres @ Diamondbacks
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
Padres
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 41% | 1% | 3% | <1% |
| If Win | 48% | 1% | 4% | 1% |
| If Lose | 33% | <1% | 3% | <1% |
Diamondbacks
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 57% | 1% | 7% | 3% |
| If Win | 61% | 1% | 9% | 5% |
| If Lose | 49% | <1% | 5% | 3% |
| Stat | Padres | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 236 | 251 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 5 |
| Stat | Padres | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 113 | 113 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 59% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Diamondbacks
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 20
12-8
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 17
7-10
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2