Final Score: Giants 4 - Padres 1
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Giants @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Giants | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 500 | 464 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 5 |
| Stat | Giants | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 108 | 108 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 55% |
Recent Results
Giants
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 19
16-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
Padres
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 21
19-2