Final Score: Rockies 7 - Padres 8
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Rockies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rockies
42-65 Rating 1396
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.5
Padres
53-53 Rating 1523
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rockies Padres
All-time wins 279 269
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.0 5.1
Last meeting 8 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Rockies Padres
Games played 107 106
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.8 4.4
Win percentage 39% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 53%