Final Score: Rockies 1 - Padres 3
Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Rockies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rockies
42-66 Rating 1395
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.5
Padres
54-53 Rating 1524
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rockies Padres
All-time wins 279 270
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.0 5.1
Last meeting 7 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Rockies Padres
Games played 108 107
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.8 4.4
Win percentage 39% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 54%