Final Score: Giants 5 - Padres 6
Saturday, August 1, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

Giants @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Giants
47-63 Rating 1474
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.8
Padres
56-54 Rating 1525
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Giants Padres
All-time wins 501 465
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.1
Last meeting 0 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Giants Padres
Games played 110 110
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.3
Win percentage 43% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 55%