Final Score: Padres 5 - Diamondbacks 1
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Padres @ Diamondbacks
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 237 | 252 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 10 |
| Stat | Padres | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 115 | 115 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 59% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Diamondbacks
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 20
12-8
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 17
7-10