Final Score: Padres 1 - Mets 2
Monday, August 17, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Padres @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 269 | 264 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 7 |
| Stat | Padres | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 125 | 125 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 45% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Houston Astros
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Houston Astros
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Houston Astros
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
Mets
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 19
13-6