Final Score: Nationals 1 - Mets 4
Friday, August 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
60-63 Rating 1466
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.4
Mets
53-69 Rating 1487
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Mets
All-time wins 480 489
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.2
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Mets
Games played 123 122
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.6
Win percentage 49% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 42%