Final Score: Twins 1 - Padres 8
Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Twins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
63-67 Rating 1475
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.9
Padres
70-60 Rating 1539
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Padres
All-time wins 21 13
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 5 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Padres
Games played 130 130
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.2
Win percentage 48% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 60%