Final Score: Marlins 7 - Diamondbacks 8
Monday, September 14, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
74-76 Rating 1487
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.5
Diamondbacks
79-71 Rating 1517
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Diamondbacks
All-time wins 86 104
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.5 4.8
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Diamondbacks
Games played 150 150
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 49% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 56%