Final Score: Mets 9 - Marlins 4
Monday, September 7, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Mets @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
65-78 Rating 1493
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Marlins
72-72 Rating 1491
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Marlins
All-time wins 295 254
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Marlins
Games played 143 144
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.3
Win percentage 45% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 60%