Final Score: Astros 3 - Mets 1
Friday, August 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Astros @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 247 | 220 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Astros | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 134 | 134 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 46% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ New York Yankees
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ New York Yankees
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ New York Yankees
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs Athletics
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Athletics
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Athletics
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 21
3-18
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
Mets
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 27, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3