Final Score: Mets 15 - Marlins 14
Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Mets @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 297 | 254 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 5 |
| Stat | Mets | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 145 | 146 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 58% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Houston Astros
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Houston Astros
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
Marlins
vs New York Mets
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs New York Mets
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2