Final Score: Cubs 0 - Padres 8
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Cubs @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
89-73 Rating 1533
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
91-71 Rating 1551
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Padres
All-time wins 294 244
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 23 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Padres
Games played 162 162
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 55% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 63%