Final Score: Cubs 1 - Padres 4
Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Cubs @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 294 | 245 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 8 |
| Stat | Cubs | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 163 | 163 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 63% |
Recent Results
Cubs
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 29, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 27, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
Padres
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 29, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 27, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2