Final Score: Padres 2 - Brewers 3
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET

Padres @ Brewers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
93-71 Rating 1555
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.6
Brewers
103-59 Rating 1588
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Brewers
All-time wins 99 93
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Brewers
Games played 164 162
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.8
Win percentage 57% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 68%