Final Score: Brewers 4 - Phillies 6
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Brewers @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Brewers | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 87 | 102 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 0 |
| Stat | Brewers | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 156 | 156 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 59% | 55% |
Recent Results
Brewers
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Baltimore Orioles
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 22
13-9
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 20
20-0
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
Phillies
@ New York Mets
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ New York Mets
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
@ New York Mets
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ New York Mets
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Houston Astros
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2