Final Score: Phillies 3 - Mets 0
Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
84-68 Rating 1550
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Mets
69-83 Rating 1492
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 482 498
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 152 152
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.6
Win percentage 55% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 44%