Final Score: Mets 12 - Yankees 2
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Mets @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
68-79 Rating 1498
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.9
Yankees
85-62 Rating 1558
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Yankees
All-time wins 72 89
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Yankees
Games played 147 147
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.7
Win percentage 46% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 57%