Final Score: Phillies 0 - Nationals 0
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
60-53 Rating 1542
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Nationals
55-59 Rating 1461
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 511 463
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 113 114
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.2
Win percentage 53% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 40%