Final Score: Phillies 7 - Mets 2
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
85-70 Rating 1548
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Mets
71-84 Rating 1494
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 483 500
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 155 155
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 55% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 45%