Final Score: Phillies 3 - Mets 10
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
85-69 Rating 1550
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Mets
70-84 Rating 1492
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 483 499
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 154 154
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 55% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 44%