Final Score: Blue Jays 2 - Tigers 1
Saturday, May 16, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Tigers
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 251 | 216 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 44 | 45 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 30% | 68% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Detroit Tigers
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 15
14-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Tigers
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New York Mets
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ New York Mets
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New York Mets
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Kansas City Royals
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Kansas City Royals
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Kansas City Royals
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Boston Red Sox
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Boston Red Sox
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
vs Boston Red Sox
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5