Final Score: Mets 3 - Diamondbacks 1
Friday, May 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Mets @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
14-23 Rating 1488
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.4
Diamondbacks
17-19 Rating 1505
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Diamondbacks
All-time wins 105 87
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 1 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Diamondbacks
Games played 37 36
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.2
Win percentage 38% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 56%