Final Score: Pirates 4 - Diamondbacks 2
Thursday, May 7, 2026 at 3:40 PM ET
Pirates @ Diamondbacks
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 78 | 105 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 0 |
| Stat | Pirates | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 37 | 35 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 59% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 24
17-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
Diamondbacks
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
@ Chicago Cubs
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Chicago Cubs
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Chicago Cubs
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 19
12-7
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6