Final Score: Pirates 0 - Diamondbacks 9
Tuesday, May 5, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
19-16 Rating 1479
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.5
Diamondbacks
16-17 Rating 1508
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Diamondbacks
All-time wins 77 104
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.9
Last meeting 6 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Diamondbacks
Games played 35 33
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.5
Win percentage 54% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 60%