Final Score: Orioles 8 - Red Sox 2
Thursday, June 4, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Orioles @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
29-33 Rating 1495
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
26-34 Rating 1508
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Red Sox
All-time wins 395 489
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 5.0
Last meeting 1 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Red Sox
Games played 62 60
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.0
Win percentage 47% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 33%