Final Score: Blue Jays 2 - Orioles 1
Thursday, May 28, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 401 | 344 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 11 | 2 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 56 | 56 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 57% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
vs Miami Marlins
May 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Miami Marlins
May 26, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Miami Marlins
May 25, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ New York Yankees
May 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ New York Yankees
May 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ New York Yankees
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ New York Yankees
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
Orioles
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 27, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs Detroit Tigers
May 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Detroit Tigers
May 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Detroit Tigers
May 22, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 22
6-16
@ Washington Nationals
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3