Final Score: Blue Jays 2 - Yankees 0
Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Yankees
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 339 | 406 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 49 | 50 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 70% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ New York Yankees
May 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ New York Yankees
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ New York Yankees
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Detroit Tigers
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Detroit Tigers
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Detroit Tigers
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
Yankees
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ New York Mets
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ New York Mets
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ New York Mets
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Baltimore Orioles
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
May 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4