Final Score: Rays 4 - Yankees 2
Friday, May 22, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Rays @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
33-15 Rating 1531
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.5
Yankees
30-21 Rating 1554
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Yankees
All-time wins 210 274
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.8
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Yankees
Games played 48 51
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.6
Win percentage 69% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 67%