Final Score: Orioles 3 - Rays 5
Wednesday, May 20, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
Orioles @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 232 | 248 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Orioles | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 49 | 47 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 68% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 78% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 22
6-16
@ Washington Nationals
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Washington Nationals
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 16
3-13
@ Washington Nationals
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs New York Yankees
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs New York Yankees
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs New York Yankees
May 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Athletics
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Athletics
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
Rays
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 22
16-6
vs Miami Marlins
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Miami Marlins
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Miami Marlins
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
May 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Boston Red Sox
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Boston Red Sox
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2