Final Score: Orioles 6 - Rays 16
Monday, May 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Orioles @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
21-26 Rating 1492
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.6
Rays
30-15 Rating 1526
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Rays
All-time wins 232 246
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Rays
Games played 47 45
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.0
Win percentage 45% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 76%