Final Score: Reds 5 - Mariners 3
Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 3:40 PM ET
Reds @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 7 | 22 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Reds | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 100 | 102 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 58% |
Recent Results
Reds
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
Mariners
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2