Final Score: Reds 4 - Mariners 2
Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Reds @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 6 | 22 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 8 |
| Stat | Reds | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 99 | 101 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 59% |
Recent Results
Reds
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
Mariners
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6