Final Score: Phillies 2 - Marlins 1
Thursday, June 19, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
44-30 Rating 1551
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Marlins
29-43 Rating 1443
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 292 244
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 74 72
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.3
Win percentage 59% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 41%