Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 2
Wednesday, June 18, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
43-30 Rating 1549
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Marlins
29-42 Rating 1445
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 291 244
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 3 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 73 71
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.3
Win percentage 59% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 42%