Final Score: Phillies 3 - Marlins 8
Tuesday, June 17, 2025 at 6:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
43-29 Rating 1551
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Marlins
28-42 Rating 1443
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 291 243
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 72 70
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.4
Win percentage 60% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 40%