Final Score: Marlins 11 - Rays 10
Saturday, June 7, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
23-38 Rating 1438
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +1.2
Rays
34-29 Rating 1528
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Rays
All-time wins 62 83
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Rays
Games played 61 63
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.4 3.6
Win percentage 38% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 54%